Source: Prospective Industry Research Institute Overview of China's paper industry market in 2018 On the supply side, the new capacity of the industry began to increase in the second half of 2018. It is estimated that the total new capacity will be 14 million tons in 2018-2019. On the demand side, the demand for packaging paper and coated paper with high macroeconomic correlation may be under pressure. The supply and demand pattern is expected to deteriorate in 2019, and the supply-demand relationship will shift from tight balance to oversupply. By the end of September 2018, the cumulative investment in fixed assets of the papermaking sector reached 21.37 million, a cumulative increase of 5.8% year-on-year, a significant increase from the year-on-year growth rate of 1.2% at the end of 2017. In the first three quarters of 2018, the papermaking sector achieved revenue of 107.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17%; net profit attributable to mothers reached 10 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14%. In the third quarter, demand in the peak season fell short of expectations. The price of finished papers rebounded. At the same time, raw material prices fluctuated at a high level. The revenue growth rate of Q3 single-quarter sector fell back to 7%, and the net profit growth rate of mothers fell to -0.2%. In the first three quarters of 2013-2018, the statistics and growth of the operating income and net profit of China's papermaking sector Source of data: public information, prospective industry research institute In 2018, the national machinery and paperboard production has exceeded 100 million tons. According to the statistics of China Paper Industry Development Prospect and Investment Strategic Planning Analysis Report released by Prospective Industry Research Institute, the fluctuations of national mechanism paper and paperboard production in the first three quarters of 2018 are small, and the overall trend is downward. In the fourth quarter, the production of paper and paperboard in the national mechanism declined; in December 2018, the output of paper and paperboard in the national mechanism was 10.43 million tons, an increase of 2.8%. From January to December 2018, the national machinery paper and board production was 11.66 million tons, down 1.5% year-on-year. Statistics and growth of national mechanism paper and board production from January to December 2018 Source: Prospective Industry Research Institute (Remarks: The cumulative growth rate of national mechanism paper and paperboard in January-February and June is -2.5%, -0.7%) More than 1/3 of the company's net profit fell year-on-year, poor performance At present, there are 22 listed companies in the domestic paper industry, including Nine Dragons Paper and Lee & Man Paper, which are listed on the Hong Kong stock market. From the performance of 2017 for the whole year, the paper industry's performance in 2017 is generally good, and all companies' revenues have expanded. Only the two companies of Anne and Guangdong Ganhua have experienced a decline in their net profit. The proportion is less than 10%. Among them, there are 6 companies with annual revenues exceeding 10 billion, and 5 companies with net profit exceeding 2 billion. Nine Dragons Paper is far ahead of other companies in terms of revenue scale and net profit scale, and is stable in the industry. the first. Overall, the current leading companies in terms of revenue and net profit are mainly Nine Dragons Paper, Chenming Paper, Lee & Man Paper, Sun Paper and Shanying Paper. From the performance of companies in the paper industry in the first three quarters of 2018, there was a significant decline compared to the same period in 2017. Specifically, as the industry leader Nine Dragons Paper did not disclose the latest financial data, only the remaining 21 companies were analyzed. In terms of revenue, Mingfeng Special Paper and Guangdong Ganhua Company experienced a year-on-year decline; net profit performance was even worse. Eight companies’ net profit fell year-on-year, accounting for more than one-third of the total profit. It includes companies with large revenues such as Chenming Paper and Bohui Paper. Therefore, overall, in the first three quarters of 2018, the performance of China's papermaking enterprises showed a downward trend, and the development faced certain difficulties, which was mainly due to the tightening of raw material supply and the sluggish downstream demand. Statistics on revenue and profit growth of 21 paper-making listed companies in the first three quarters of 2018 Source: Prospective Industry Research Institute Analysis of the development proposal of paper industry in 2019 new year However, in recent years, the development of the paper industry has not been smooth, and it has faced serious problems and challenges while achieving remarkable achievements. On the one hand, there is a shortage of domestic production resources, and the high dependence of raw materials on the external environment makes the development of the paper industry sustainable and stable. On the other hand, the middle and low-end technical equipment level enterprises are mostly, which causes the development imbalance to occur and the industrial structure is urgently needed. optimization. At the same time, the national environmental protection regulations are becoming more and more perfect, the environmental protection supervision and enforcement is becoming stricter, the labor cost is rising, the prices of raw and auxiliary materials continue to rise, the protectionismism is further rising, and the accelerated rise of new intelligent technologies is giving the development of the paper industry. Come to higher requirements and challenges. Under such circumstances, entering the new year of 2019, the paper industry must break through from many challenges, and find the direction of the road ahead from the tortuous road. It requires all enterprises in the industry to establish correct development ideas and work together. Strive to advance, vigorously innovate and create, adhere to green development, and jointly create a new situation in the development of the industry. 2019 three-point development proposal 1. Adhere to the priority of green development. In the past few years, the state has put forward the concept of scientific development, put forward new ideas for innovation, coordination, green, development and sharing, and put forward the new concept of “Green Mountain is the Jinshan Yinshanâ€. The paper industry must do these new requirements. To implement, green development will be given priority and a new way of developing environmental protection, energy conservation and green will be formed. The majority of paper-making enterprises must adhere to green development, adhere to environmental protection priorities, and take the road of ecological civilization development. First, save resources, fully improve the comprehensive utilization rate of raw materials, strengthen the use of waste paper, broaden the recycling channels, and promote recycling; secondly, reduce energy consumption, strengthen papermaking equipment technology and technology, improve the comprehensive utilization of resources; finally reduce pollution, through restrictions Waste discharge and solid waste disposal to effectively prevent environmental pollution and ecological damage. 2. Adhere to the drive of technological innovation. At present, it is at the important stage of the new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial revolution, and the rapid transition of China's development mode to the historical stage. It is a key period for the domestic paper industry to achieve industrial upgrading, from big to strong, from fast-changing. It is vital. Therefore, the paper industry should increase the development of a new generation of pulping technology, and strengthen the research and development of cutting-edge technologies such as clean separation, membrane separation, new coating, wastewater reuse, and biomass refining, with advanced pulping technology and new environmental protection technologies. Promote the transformation and upgrading of the paper industry. It is necessary to strengthen the innovation of paper-making equipment, improve the equipment manufacturing capability, speed up the process of equipment automation, numerical control and intelligence, promote the integration of process technology research and development with paper-making equipment manufacturing, promote the overall level of paper-making equipment with technological innovation, and drive the paper industry to become better and stronger. . 3. Adhere to the direction of quality supply. The state pointed out in the report of the 19th National Congress: "The focus of the construction of a modern economic system is in the real economy, and development needs to improve the supply quality system as the main direction." Faced with this major strategic decision based on the overall situation and facing the future, the paper industry needs to become part of the enhancement of China's economic quality. In view of this, in 2019, the paper industry needs to accelerate the application of intelligent and information technology, and promote modern production methods such as lean management, personalized customization, supply chain coordination, and rapid market response, and comprehensively improve the production efficiency and manufacturing level of the paper industry. We must conscientiously implement the "three products" strategy, actively optimize the variety structure of paperboard, paper products, special paper, household paper, packaging paper, and printing and writing paper, and vigorously improve the design level and production quality of paper products, with rich varieties and excellent Quality, excellent brand, enhance the overall competitiveness of China's paper industry. Editor in charge: Ge Hongyan This article is posted on this website for the purpose of transmitting more information and does not imply endorsement of its views or confirmation of its description. Article source address: http:// Copying is not to draw an extremely realistic picture, but to learn in the process of copying, why the color relationship in this place is like this, why this kind of physical structure is used here, and so on, we need to think about it. 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